{"id":24159,"date":"2026-08-19T03:44:39","date_gmt":"2026-08-19T03:44:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24159"},"modified":"2026-08-19T03:45:29","modified_gmt":"2026-08-19T03:45:29","slug":"daily-commentary-452","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-452-20260819\/","title":{"rendered":"M\u1ee9c $4.400 l\u1ea1i l\u1ecdt v\u00e0o t\u1ea7m ng\u1eafm: Phe mua v\u00e0ng gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i th\u1ebf ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi Bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp FOMC \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\" style=\"color: #f40307;\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4.400 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 T\u01b0 khi l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu Kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9 gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ec1m c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a Fed.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 lo l\u1eafng v\u1ec1 eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt, vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e0nh l\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c $4.450 l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi phe mua v\u00e0ng trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y \u0111ang cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4.400 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh m\u1ea1nh di\u1ec5n ra v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba. T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd hi\u1ec7n nay \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed5 d\u1ed3n v\u00e0o Bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u00e1ng 7 c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed), d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c giao d\u1ecbch m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebfp n\u1ed1i \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng sau m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng, khi phe mua ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c h\u00e0o h\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng \u0111ang phai nh\u1ea1t v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Fed s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ea1o ng\u00e0y 16-17 th\u00e1ng 9.<\/p>\n<p>Theo c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lao \u0111\u1ed9ng M\u1ef9 y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1edf m\u1ee9c v\u1eeba ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9, t\u1eeb kho\u1ea3ng 50% xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 35% t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m vi\u1ebft b\u00e0i.<\/p>\n<p>Do \u0111\u00f3, Bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp s\u1eafp t\u1edbi c\u1ee7a \u1ee6y ban Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng M\u1edf Li\u00ean bang (FOMC) s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem x\u00e9t k\u1ef9 l\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u01b0 duy c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng d\u01b0\u1edbi s\u1ef1 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Kevin Warsh, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 cung c\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng s\u1eafp t\u1edbi c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd l\u00e0 th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u1ee6y ban Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng M\u1edf Li\u00ean bang (FOMC) \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 9-3 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u1edf m\u1ee9c 3,5%-3,75%, trong khi Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed Warsh v\u1eabn ki\u00ean \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1edbi quan \u0111i\u1ec3m duy tr\u00ec s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3.<\/p>\n<p>N\u1ebfu th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng coi cu\u1ed9c tranh lu\u1eadn n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a FOMC l\u00e0 b\u1edbt di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u h\u01a1n, khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn ch\u1edd xem, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u00e2m ng\u00f2i cho m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9, qua \u0111\u00f3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u1eddi nh\u01b0 V\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u1ee6y ban cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 c\u1ea5p b\u00e1ch trong vi\u1ec7c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng do xung \u0111\u1ed9t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. V\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00e1n m\u1ea1nh khi \u0111\u1ed3ng USD c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i. Trong k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i s\u1ee9c h\u00fat.<\/p>\n<p>Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, V\u00e0ng th\u1edf ph\u00e0o nh\u1eb9 nh\u00f5m sau \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 ch\u00e2m ng\u00f2i b\u1edfi \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt c\u1ee7a l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu Kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9 l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eadp k\u1ef7.<\/p>\n<p>L\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba, khi s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh xung quanh vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong ba tu\u1ea7n v\u00e0 l\u00e0m b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cTheo Reuters, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump cho bi\u1ebft h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Ba r\u1eb1ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n n\u00e0o v\u1edbi Iran v\u00e0 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u1eabn m\u1edf c\u1eeda, tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Iran r\u1eb1ng tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ee7y n\u00e0y v\u1eabn \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n<p>Vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0o h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Ba c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0 do ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi bi\u00ean b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a Fed s\u1eafp \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-24160\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-19-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-19-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-19-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-19-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-19-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-19-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-19.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,354.92, duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi gi\u00e1 giao ngay duy tr\u00ec tr\u00ean c\u1ea3 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 50 ng\u00e0y, l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,215.01 v\u00e0 $4,155.34. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u1eb7p ti\u1ec1n n\u00e0y \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh b\u1edfi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,381.21, trong khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n h\u01a1n \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,509.67 v\u1eabn l\u00e0 r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 59,21 v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m trong v\u00f9ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nguy\u00ean v\u1eb9n nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a b\u1ecb k\u00e9o c\u0103ng qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n<p>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c, m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ban \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 21 ng\u00e0y (SMA) g\u1ea7n $4,215, ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 50 ng\u00e0y (SMA) quanh m\u1ee9c $4,155; hai m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y c\u00f9ng nhau t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh v\u00f9ng c\u1ea7u h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 trong c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m. V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,381, tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4,510; vi\u1ec7c b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng tr\u00ean c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y s\u1ebd c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng, trong khi vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c $4,381 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch l\u0169y tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c s\u00e0n c\u1ee7a \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold bounces back toward $4,400 early Wednesday as US Treasury bond yields ease ahead of Fed Minutes. US Dollar enters bearish consolidation, despite surging Oil prices and Hormuz jitters. Technically, recapturing $4,450 is critical for Gold bulls amid a bullish daily chart. Gold\u00a0is looking back toward the $4,400 level early Wednesday, reversing a steep pullback &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-452-20260819\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;$4,400 back in sight: Gold bulls regain control ahead of FOMC Minutes&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24159","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24159","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24159"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24159\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24162,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24159\/revisions\/24162"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24159"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24159"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24159"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}