{"id":24142,"date":"2026-08-13T04:16:33","date_gmt":"2026-08-13T04:16:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24142"},"modified":"2026-08-13T04:16:33","modified_gmt":"2026-08-13T04:16:33","slug":"daily-commentary-448","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-448-20260813\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD b\u00e1m s\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y, v\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nguy\u00ean v\u1eb9n"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\" style=\"color: #f40307;\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 10 tu\u1ea7n, \u0111ang th\u1eed th\u00e1ch m\u1ed1c $4.400 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 N\u0103m trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ef1c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1eeb m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng, trong khi cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 h\u1ed3i k\u1ebft.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y c\u1ee7a V\u00e0ng \u0111ang \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 phe mua, trong khi h\u1ecd ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i s\u1ef1 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn c\u1ee7a giao c\u1eaft v\u00e0ng (Bull Cross).<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4.400 t\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00e2u \u00c1 v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, sau khi b\u1ecb t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4.450 \u2013 c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 10 tu\u1ea7n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u2013 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y chuy\u1ec3n sang d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Gi\u00e1 Nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t (PPI) c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ecm th\u00eam c\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111ang h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 sau b\u00e1o c\u00e1o Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Gi\u00e1 Ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (CPI) \u00f4n h\u00f2a c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n<p>T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t CPI h\u00e0ng n\u0103m \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 3,4% trong th\u00e1ng 7 t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 3,5% trong th\u00e1ng 6, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o.<\/p>\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (CPI) c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i h\u00e0ng n\u0103m \u2013 v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao \u2013 c\u0169ng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o, t\u0103ng 2,5% trong th\u00e1ng 7. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 CPI c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng t\u0103ng 0,2% trong c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3, sau khi gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean m\u1ee9c trong th\u00e1ng 6.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m th\u00eam k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00e1n th\u00e1o m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu Kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi m\u1ed1c $4.450.<\/p>\n<p>Theo c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 CME FedWatch, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch hi\u1ec7n ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y t\u1ea1i cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 40%, gi\u1ea3m so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 54% \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p>Theo TD Securities, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t s\u1ebd \u201cti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c mang l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 nh\u1eb9 nh\u00f5m cho Fed v\u1ec1 nhu c\u1ea7u th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, \u00edt nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai g\u1ea7n.\u201d Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 ra \u201cc\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a trong gi\u00e1 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c chuy\u1ec3n h\u00f3a thu\u1ebf quan v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t\u201d l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u201cb\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u t\u1ed1t cho nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i xung quanh l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00f5i dai d\u1eb3ng.\u201d Tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf \u0111\u00f3, TD Securities nh\u1eafc l\u1ea1i r\u1eb1ng \u201ct\u1ef1u trung l\u1ea1i, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i v\u1eabn gi\u1eef quan \u0111i\u1ec3m r\u1eb1ng Fed s\u1ebd gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch trong n\u0103m nay,\u201d c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eefng lo ng\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u1ec1 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 dai d\u1eb3ng.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng gi\u1ea3m tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i khi c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng Trung \u0110\u00f4ng b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i sau khi m\u1ed9t ngu\u1ed3n tin c\u1ea5p cao c\u1ee7a Iran cho bi\u1ebft kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n n\u00e0o trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n nh\u1eb1m h\u1ed3i sinh th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 6 v\u00e0 x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh khung th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p>\u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump cho bi\u1ebft trong m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i \u0111\u0103ng tr\u00ean Truth Social r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 \u201cto\u00e0n quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t\u201d \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, b\u00e1c b\u1ecf c\u00e1c ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a Iran v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng b\u1ebf t\u1eafc l\u00e0 \u201ctin gi\u1ea3\u201d, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi n\u00f3i th\u00eam r\u1eb1ng Tehran \u201cto\u00e0n n\u00f3i su\u00f4ng kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m g\u00ec c\u1ea3\u201d v\u00e0 \u201ckh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 K\u1ebb b\u1eaft n\u1ea1t Trung \u0110\u00f4ng n\u1eefa\u201d.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m cho \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 10 tu\u1ea7n qua \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,450 khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u phi\u00ean l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c v\u00e0 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u CPI c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c v\u1eeba ph\u1ea3i, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0m d\u1ea5y l\u00ean nghi ng\u1edd v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Fed s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi. Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m c\u0169ng t\u1ea1o th\u00eam \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c cho phe mua v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, h\u1ecd d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang t\u1ea1m ngh\u1ec9 sau \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u1ea1i v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t PPI c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u0111ang h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t, c\u00f3 \u00fd ngh\u0129a quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Fed.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u00e0ng c\u0169ng s\u1ebd theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi l\u1ef1c mua b\u1eaft \u0111\u00e1y xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y \u0111ang c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-24143\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-13-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-13-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-13-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-13-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-13-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-13-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-13.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,408.48. Kim lo\u1ea1i n\u00e0y duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 trung h\u1ea1n, v\u1edbi SMA 21 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,151.01 v\u00e0 SMA 50 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,146,69 \u0111ang h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng, trong khi SMA 100 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,387,53 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i l\u00e0m m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft. Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (RSI 14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 67,49 \u0111ang ti\u1ec7m c\u1eadn v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 mua, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb k\u00e9o c\u0103ng khi gi\u00e1 \u0111ang c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 g\u1ea7n c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n<p>V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, m\u1ee9c kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 ban \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 200 ng\u00e0y d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,502.95, m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y \u0111ang k\u00ecm h\u00e3m \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi phe mua. \u1ede ph\u00eda gi\u1ea3m, m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cung c\u1ea5p b\u1edfi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n 100 ng\u00e0y (SMA) t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4,387.53, trong khi c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 50 ng\u00e0y t\u1eadp trung quanh m\u1ee9c $4,151\u20134.147, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 v\u00f9ng c\u1ea7u s\u00e2u h\u01a1n trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p di\u1ec5n ra \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold is off ten-week highs, testing $4,400 early Thursday amid US-Iran tensions. The US Dollar draws support from a cautious market, with no end in sight to the Middle East conflict. Gold\u2019s daily technical setup favors bulls, as they await Bull Cross confirmation. Gold\u00a0is reverting to the $4,400 level in Asia on Thursday after facing &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-448-20260813\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD clings to 100-day SMA, with upside risks intact&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24142","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24142","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24142"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24142\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24146,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24142\/revisions\/24146"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24142"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24142"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24142"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}