{"id":24135,"date":"2026-08-12T03:41:31","date_gmt":"2026-08-12T03:41:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/?p=24135"},"modified":"2026-08-12T03:41:31","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T03:41:31","slug":"daily-commentary-447","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-447-20260812\/","title":{"rendered":"XAU\/USD ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t CPI c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 b\u01b0\u1edbc bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn ti\u1ebfp theo"},"content":{"rendered":"<ul class=\"wp-block-list has-text-color\" style=\"color: #f40307;\">\n<li><strong>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4.400 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb \u0111\u00f3n nh\u1eadn d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>\u0110\u1ed3ng \u0110\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 duy tr\u00ec trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 h\u1eb9p trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh b\u1ebf t\u1eafc M\u1ef9 - Iran, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng cao v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 suy gi\u1ea3m.<\/strong><\/li>\n<li><strong>Bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y c\u1ee7a v\u00e0ng cho th\u1ea5y gi\u00e1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ki\u1ec3m tra \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 200 ng\u00e0y (SMA) t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4.500 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 RSI \u0111ang \u1edf xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111ang quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng v\u00e0 c\u00f3 v\u1ebb s\u1ebd l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i m\u1ed1c $4.400 trong phi\u00ean giao d\u1ecbch ch\u00e2u \u00c1 h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, sau khi thu h\u00fat \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ef1c mua g\u1ea7n v\u00f9ng $4.350. M\u1ecdi s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd v\u1eabn t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (CPI) c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn, v\u1ed1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh li\u1ec7u gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n hay \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n<p>Gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng, sau \u0111\u1ee3t \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u1eafn do ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ed1t l\u1eddi t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 10 tu\u1ea7n l\u00e0 $4,435 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba.<\/p>\n<p>D\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n khi s\u1ef1 b\u1ebf t\u1eafc gi\u1eefa Hoa K\u1ef3 (M\u1ef9) v\u00e0 Iran v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n m\u1edf c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u00e0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng ri\u00eang r\u1ebd c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Houthi th\u00e2n Iran \u1edf Yemen nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i bi\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 lo ng\u1ea1i l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m ch\u00f9n b\u01b0\u1edbc phe \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 gi\u00e1 l\u00ean c\u1ee7a V\u00e0ng, khi h\u1ecd v\u1eabn hy v\u1ecdng v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u00f4n h\u00f2a kh\u00e1c t\u1eeb M\u1ef9, n\u1ed1i ti\u1ebfp s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u B\u1ea3ng l\u01b0\u01a1ng phi n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m trong th\u00e1ng 7, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9.<\/p>\n<p>T\u1ea1i th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u01b0a tin, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c 50-50, theo C\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 FedWatch c\u1ee7a CME Group, chuy\u1ec3n s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (CPI) c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t l\u00f5i, v\u00ec ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng do chi\u1ebfn tranh g\u00e2y ra.<\/p>\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i (CPI) h\u00e0ng n\u0103m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd t\u0103ng 2,5% trong th\u00e1ng 7, ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng 2,6% trong th\u00e1ng 6. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t CPI c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean 0,2% so v\u1edbi th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc (MoM) trong th\u00e1ng 7, sau khi gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean trong th\u00e1ng 6.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi r\u1ee7i ro hai chi\u1ec1u tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00e0n \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u CPI c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i n\u00f3ng h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u00f4 la M\u1ef9 (USD) v\u00e0 l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9 g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i cho lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng sinh l\u1eddi l\u00e0 v\u00e0ng.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t h\u01a1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o th\u00eam \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 cho kim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd, v\u00ec d\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m th\u00eam k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m nay v\u00e0 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD.<\/p>\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, ph\u1ea7n b\u00f9 r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c duy tr\u00ec v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng ban \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a V\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u1eef li\u1ec7u CPI ch\u1ec9 di\u1ec5n ra trong th\u1eddi gian ng\u1eafn.<\/p>\n<p>Theo TD Securities, \u201ckim lo\u1ea1i qu\u00fd v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec l\u1ef1c mua\u201d, trong \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0ng \u201cgi\u1eef v\u1eefng m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec v\u1ecb th\u1ebf mua c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 CTA \u1edf m\u1ee9c tr\u00ean $4.400\/oz, ngay c\u1ea3 khi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng cao\u201d. C\u00f4ng ty n\u00e0y l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng \u201cdi\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c cho th\u1ea5y xu h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t k\u00e8m suy tho\u00e1i \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0ng\u201d, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi b\u1ed5 sung r\u1eb1ng m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 \u201cd\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a Fed s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao, nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t con s\u1ed1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t cao h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.\u201d<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-24136\" src=\"https:\/\/www.maxainasia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-12-1024x390.png\" alt=\"Gold Technical Analysis\" width=\"1024\" height=\"390\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-12-1024x390.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-12-300x114.png 300w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-12-768x292.png 768w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-12-1536x585.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-12-18x7.png 18w, https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/gold-chart-2026-08-12.png 1647w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 767px) 89vw, (max-width: 1000px) 54vw, (max-width: 1071px) 543px, 580px\" \/><\/figure>\n<p>Tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3u \u0111\u1ed3 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y, c\u1eb7p XAU\/USD \u0111ang giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,398.04. Kim lo\u1ea1i n\u00e0y duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n khi gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n (SMA) 21 ng\u00e0y, 50 ng\u00e0y v\u00e0 100 ng\u00e0y, trong \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 100 ng\u00e0y cung c\u1ea5p m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3 quanh m\u1ee9c $4,388.40. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 200 ng\u00e0y \u1edf m\u1ee9c $4,500.55 \u0111ang n\u1ed5i l\u00ean nh\u01b0 r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 ch\u00ednh ti\u1ebfp theo, trong khi Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 S\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh T\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i (14) \u1edf m\u1ee9c 67,03 \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ebfn v\u00f9ng qu\u00e1 mua, cho th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang m\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e0 khi ti\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng c\u1ea3n d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1, m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u1edf v\u00f9ng $4,398.04, ti\u1ebfp theo ngay sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 100 ng\u00e0y (SMA) t\u1ea1i $4,388.40, t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u1ee5m c\u1ea7u n\u00f4ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi m\u1ee9c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 s\u00e2u h\u01a1n xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 50 ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c $4,147.80 v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng SMA 21 ng\u00e0y quanh m\u1ee9c $4,133.91. V\u1ec1 ph\u00eda t\u0103ng, vi\u1ec7c b\u1ee9t ph\u00e1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00ean tr\u00ean \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9ng 200 ng\u00e0y (SMA) t\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c $4,500.55 s\u1ebd m\u1edf ra c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c, trong khi vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn v\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u1ecb gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00edch l\u0169y tr\u00ean c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng trung b\u00ecnh ng\u1eafn v\u00e0 trung h\u1ea1n.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Gold is revisiting the $4,400 level early Wednesday, bracing for the US inflation test. The US Dollar sticks to a range amid the US-Iran impasse, higher Oil prices, and receding September Fed rate hike bets. Gold\u2019s daily chart points to a test of the 200-day SMA at $4,500 amid bullish RSI. Gold\u00a0is back on the &hellip; <\/p>\n<p class=\"link-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/daily-commentary-447-20260812\/\" class=\"more-link\">\u0110\u1ecdc ti\u1ebfp<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;XAU\/USD awaits US CPI inflation for the next big move&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":17233,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24135","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-daily-commentary"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24135","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24135"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24135\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24139,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24135\/revisions\/24139"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/17233"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24135"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=24135"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.maxainforex.com\/vi\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=24135"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}